Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.006319 0.007341 0.008546 0.010091 0.012047 0.014481 0.017805
2025-04-20 0.005147 0.006446 0.008151 0.010630 0.014276 0.019684 0.028850
2025-04-27 0.004449 0.005851 0.007832 0.010980 0.016165 0.025052 0.043411
2025-05-04 0.003893 0.005301 0.007398 0.010962 0.017385 0.029822 0.060709
2025-05-11 0.003483 0.004876 0.007041 0.010934 0.018524 0.034978 0.084234
2025-05-18 0.003118 0.004458 0.006611 0.010657 0.019069 0.039169 0.110927
2025-05-25 0.002785 0.004045 0.006120 0.010155 0.018975 0.041805 0.137151
2025-06-01 0.002533 0.003732 0.005753 0.009808 0.019116 0.045207 0.174371
2025-06-08 0.002401 0.003600 0.005680 0.010029 0.020666 0.053933 0.267370
2025-06-15 0.002242 0.003407 0.005470 0.009919 0.021351 0.060448 0.379047
2025-06-22 0.002057 0.003151 0.005113 0.009425 0.020857 0.062299 0.463461
2025-06-29 0.001929 0.002984 0.004907 0.009235 0.021174 0.067916 0.650049
2025-07-06 0.001840 0.002889 0.004850 0.009434 0.022919 0.083101 1.335866
2025-07-13 0.001784 0.002851 0.004905 0.009926 0.025925 0.110953 4.729243
2025-07-20 0.001716 0.002784 0.004890 0.010243 0.028566 0.144029 32.297448
2025-07-27 0.001628 0.002669 0.004760 0.010227 0.029981 0.172987 1566.097265
2025-08-03 0.001549 0.002563 0.004636 0.010202 0.031393 0.208414 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001460 0.002434 0.004445 0.009950 0.031711 0.234610 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001366 0.002286 0.004198 0.009492 0.030892 0.244452 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001290 0.002168 0.004009 0.009176 0.030650 0.264559 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001252 0.002126 0.003991 0.009378 0.033164 0.351261 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001199 0.002049 0.003883 0.009277 0.034055 0.417165 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001130 0.001935 0.003676 0.008827 0.032774 0.420563 NaN